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surmise

  
1   
      vb   come to the conclusion, conclude, conjecture, consider, deduce, fancy, guess, hazard a guess, imagine, infer, opine, presume, speculate, suppose, suspect  
2   
      n   assumption, conclusion, conjecture, deduction, guess, hypothesis, idea, inference, notion, possibility, presumption, speculation, supposition, suspicion, thought  
English Collins Dictionary - English synonyms & Thesaurus  
Collins

surmise

  
  ( surmises    plural & 3rd person present)   ( surmising    present participle)   ( surmised    past tense & past participle  )
1       verb   If you surmise that something is true, you guess it from the available evidence, although you do not know for certain.  
FORMAL   There's so little to go on, we can only surmise what happened...      V wh  
He surmised that he had discovered one of the illegal streets.      V that, Also V, V n  
2       n-var   If you say that a particular conclusion is surmise, you mean that it is a guess based on the available evidence and you do not know for certain that it is true.  
FORMAL  
(=conjecture)  

It is mere surmise that Bosch had Brant's poem in mind when doing this painting..., His surmise proved correct.     

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